At 23/19Z, the center of Tropical Storm Debby was located at 25.7N 88.0W or about 275 miles due south of Mobile, Alabama. The center was drifting to the south southwest - at 18Z the Hurricane Hunter aircraft placed the center at 25.9N 87.8W with a central pressure of 1001MB. Upper level westerly windshear has displaced the convection well to the east of the center, so Debby is not your classic tropical storm.
Since the system has been very slow to develop and with low confidence in its future movement (the forecast model tracks are still all over the place along the Gulf coast), heavy rains have not materialized along the east coast. The west coast of the peninsula from Tampa to Naples is getting heavy rain but the progression of that rain to the east has been slow.
The initial NHC forecast track drifts the storm north for a couple of days and then turns it westward toward the central Texas coast. This forecast track would significantly lower the risk of a heavy rainfall event in east central Florida. Note that some of the models still indicate a track toward Florida, but for now they are viewed as outliers. With the consolidation of the storm and a north rather than northeast movement the threat for heavy flooding rain is not likely in eastern Florida, however, showers and thunderstorms are still likely for the next few days.
