All,
Here is the Hazardous Weather Outlook from the NWS Melbourne and the SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL IMPACTS for Friday, May 25, 2012 through Monday, May 28, 2012.
• East-central Florida Impacts will be highly dependent on movement and strength of the low pressure area.
• Today through Saturday:
Ø Low pressure gradually consolidates overnight and stalls offshore GA/SC coast; then moves SW back toward the coast tomorrow. System may become a tropical/subtropical storm.
Ø Breezy N-NE flow (15 mph and gusty daytime) with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms; activity will shift towards the Gulf Coast each afternoon.
Ø Hazardous boating conditions with rough seas (north winds 10-15 knots, seas 4-6’ offshore)
Ø Moderate to high risk of rip currents
• Sunday and Monday:
Ø Low pressure moves onshore North Florida/Georgia coast and stalls over/near panhandle
Ø Increasing coverage of showers and thunderstorms, moving generally west to east.
Ø Breezy west-southwest winds (especially north of Orlando and Cape Canaveral).
Ø Hazardous boating conditions with rough seas (winds becoming south/southwest 10-15 knots, seas 4-6’ away from the coast).
• If the low pressure center moves more southwest than presently expected (i.e. moves toward St. Augustine, rather than FL/GA border), stronger winds and a greater coverage of rain could occur, but east-central Florida would still remain on the south (weaker) side of the storm (damaging winds/flooding rain not likely).
• Remember…even if this system is not classified as a tropical/subtropical storm, strong winds and heavy rain could impact portions of NE Florida and the panhandle, GA, SC.
• Local NWS offices will continue to provide updates on potential impacts. Please continue to monitor information from NHC and your local WFO.
• Stationary low pressure over the Florida panhandle during the early to mid portion of next week will result in a moist offshore (W/SW/S) flow over central Florida. A moderate to high coverage of afternoon showers/storms is possible, with general motion from the Gulf coast to the interior and east coast.
County Action’s: Brevard County Emergency Management is at Activation Level 3 and is monitoring the movement of the disturbance. We will provide updates if the disturbance progresses.
